[Statlist] Séminaire de statistique vendredi 4 nov. 2011

[MATEI Alina Gabriela]

SEMINAIRE DE STATISTIQUE

Institut de Statistique, Université de Neuchâtel, Pierre-à-Mazel 7, 2000 Neuchâtel

http://www2.unine.ch/statistics

VENDREDI 4 novembre 2011 à 11h00, salle C49, Avenue du 1er-Mars 26, Neuchâtel

Wayne A. Fuller
Iowa State University

(Doctor Honoris Causa, Faculty of Economics, University of Neuchâtel)

Small Area Prediction for the Canadian Labour Force Survey

joint work with Emily J. Berg (U.S. National Agricultural Statistics Service)

Small area prediction for a two-way table of counts, where the estimated counts are from a complex sample, is considered. Modeling is difficult because distributions may differ by area, estimates of means may be correlated with estimates of variances, the parameter space is restricted, and mean models are nonlinear. Possible procedures are considered and illustrated with data from the Canadian Labour Force survey.  The analysis demonstrates that large gains in mean squared error are possible.