[Statlist] Next Talk : Friday September 18, 2009

[Cecilia Rey]

ETH and University of Zurich

Proff. A.D. Barbour - P. Buehlmann -  L. Held -
H.R. Kuensch - M. Maathuis - W. Stahel - S. van de Geer


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We are glad to announce the following talk

Friday, September 18, 2009 15.15 - 17.00  HG  G 19.1 

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with Valerie Isham, University College, London UK


Title:
Rumours and epidemics on random networks


Abstract:
The Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) epidemic model is a fundamental model for the spread of infection in a homogeneously-mixing population. It is a special case of a more general stochastic rumour model in which there is an extra interaction. Thus, not only does an ignorant (susceptible) contacted by a spreader (infective) become a spreader, and spreaders may "forget" the rumour and become stiflers (removals), but also spreaders may become stiflers if they attempt to spread the rumour to a spreader or stifler (who will have already heard it). For both epidemics and rumours, there is particular interest in using a random network to represent population structure, with applications to the spread of infection or information on social networks. The talk will discuss a) the effect of the population size on thresholds for epidemic/rumour spread, and b) the effect of different network structures.  



This abstract is also to be found under the following link:
http://stat.ethz.ch/talks/research_seminar

-- 
ETH Zürich
Seminar für Statistik
Cecilia Rey-Lutz, HG G10.3
Rämistrasse 101                    
CH-8092 Zurich		                      	
mail: rey at stat.math.ethz.ch    	  		
phone: +41 44 632 3438/fax: +41 44 632 1228